Bad predictions

The Econ Department Nobel Pool for 2012, organised by Seamus, failed abysmally. Each member of the Department was allowed to pick three prizes. None of us picked Roth. Here are the entries:

Me:

1. Tullock-Krueger;
2. Shiller (I expected with Fama, but didn't note);
3. Tirole

Other sets of guesses:

• Respondent K:
1. Fama-French
2. Tirole
3. Feldstein-Poterba
• Respondent J:
1. Plott
2. Gene Grossman
3. Ted Bergstrom
• Respondent R:
1. Tirole-Holmstrom
2. Romer-Barro
3. Baumol
• Respondent G., from the Finance section:
1. Fama
2. Fama
3. Fama
• Respondent S.
1. Weitzman
2. Deaton
3. Tirole
• Respondent P.
1. Hart
2. Posner
3. Krueger
• Respondent A.
1. Gene Grossman
2. John Cochrane
3. Michael Grossman
• Respondent M.
1. Tirole-Dixit
2. Berry-Pakes
• Update: I forgot Respondent SHi
1. Bhagwati
2. Easterly
3. Shiller

No wisdom of crowds here.

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